Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.351172 3.700704 4.079534 4.522009 5.026381 5.585426 6.254753
2025-09-14 2.825326 3.287838 3.823539 4.494956 5.321101 6.313729 7.610832
2025-09-21 2.482854 2.998089 3.623836 4.449659 5.525847 6.902020 8.830210
2025-09-28 2.172135 2.695304 3.353489 4.256748 5.487211 7.139915 9.589963
2025-10-05 2.017537 2.566216 3.279146 4.293746 5.735026 7.764673 10.945332
2025-10-12 1.906364 2.478946 3.244828 4.371464 6.035122 8.484574 12.533614
2025-10-19 1.811328 2.402271 3.213580 4.443531 6.325868 9.215461 14.242579
2025-10-26 1.726179 2.330430 3.179855 4.503680 6.598163 9.942694 16.054772
2025-11-02 1.642820 2.253457 3.130304 4.531611 6.817489 10.604338 17.856029
2025-11-09 1.527729 2.121689 2.988874 4.402453 6.765179 10.797149 18.820043
2025-11-16 1.441735 2.026905 2.895455 4.339564 6.813353 11.164540 20.173443
2025-11-23 1.373386 1.953975 2.829737 4.314540 6.920987 11.647280 21.838317
2025-11-30 1.340778 1.934912 2.848590 4.434646 7.303160 12.704207 24.960504
2025-12-07 1.279638 1.867705 2.786127 4.411011 7.422004 13.270051 27.122154
2025-12-14 1.219732 1.798742 2.715887 4.367184 7.497008 13.755847 29.200930
2025-12-21 1.136778 1.688387 2.570709 4.178783 7.275285 13.596579 29.660555
2025-12-28 1.102370 1.654686 2.551092 4.214941 7.496277 14.408906 32.791361
2026-01-04 1.077451 1.634938 2.553419 4.290871 7.804179 15.456468 36.827934
2026-01-11 1.053108 1.614636 2.553159 4.361273 8.107573 16.539809 41.276625
2026-01-18 1.028322 1.592124 2.547356 4.420026 8.392058 17.622980 46.056892
2026-01-25 1.000147 1.562281 2.526540 4.447307 8.610380 18.578456 50.740166
2026-02-01 0.950875 1.493725 2.432296 4.321145 8.472646 18.608495 52.330772
2026-02-08 0.914100 1.445313 2.372171 4.259707 8.476371 19.009279 55.354345